ICD Domain GenAI Identifies Groups that Would Actively Fight with Iran in Regional War & Their Roles

IntelCenter asked its ICD Domain GenAI which groups would actively fight with Iran in the event of a regional war in the Middle East and what their roles would be. At the time, the ICD Domain GenAI had access to more than 65M words from terrorist, rebel, separatist and proxy groups around the world going back to 1 Sep. 2001 in the IntelCenter Database (ICD).

Here is the exchange:

User:
Based on your access to more than 65M words from terrorist, rebel, separatist and proxy groups, which groups would actively fight with Iran in the event of a regional war in the Middle East. Explain the role these groups would likely play in such a scenario.

ICD Domain GenAI:
In the event of a regional war in the Middle East involving Iran, several groups would likely align and actively fight alongside Iran. These groups are typically proxy militias and allied forces that have historical and strategic ties with Iran. Here are some of the key groups and the roles they would likely play:

1. Hezbollah (Lebanon):
• Role: Hezbollah, a Shiite militant group based in Lebanon, is one of Iran's most prominent and well-trained proxy forces. In a regional war, Hezbollah would likely launch attacks against Israel, leveraging its extensive rocket and missile arsenal. It could also conduct asymmetric warfare, including guerrilla tactics and terrorist operations, to destabilize enemy forces and create multiple fronts that complicate the military efforts of Iran's adversaries.

2. Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) / Hashd al-Shaabi (Iraq):
• Role: The PMF is an umbrella organization of various Iraqi militias, many of which are aligned with Iran. In a conflict, they would likely engage in ground operations against U.S. forces and other coalition troops stationed in Iraq. They could also target logistical supply lines and conduct operations to secure strategic locations within Iraq.

3. Houthis (Yemen):
• Role: The Houthi movement, also known as Ansar Allah, would likely increase its missile and drone attacks against Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states aligned against Iran. They could also intensify their efforts to control key maritime routes, such as the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, disrupting global shipping and oil transport.

4. Fatimiyoun Brigade (Afghan Shia fighters):
• Role: This brigade, composed of Afghan Shia fighters, has been deployed in Syria. In a broader regional conflict, they could be redeployed to other fronts where Iranian interests are threatened. They would likely serve as ground troops in various theaters of conflict, including Syria and possibly Iraq.

5. Zaynabiyoun Brigade (Pakistani Shia fighters):
- Role: Similar to the Fatimiyoun Brigade, the Zaynabiyoun Brigade consists of Pakistani Shia fighters. They would likely be used in ground combat roles to support Iranian and allied forces in Syria and other conflict zones where Iranian interests need reinforcement.

6. Syrian Government Forces and Allied Militias:
• Role: The Syrian regime, led by Bashar al-Assad, and its allied militias, many of which are trained and supported by Iran, would likely engage in operations against anti-Iranian forces. They would focus on securing the regime's control over Syrian territory and possibly conducting operations against Israeli or Turkish interests in the region.

7. Kataib Hezbollah (Iraq):
• Role: This militia, part of the PMF, is known for its strong loyalty to Iran. In a regional conflict, Kata'ib Hezbollah would likely focus on targeting U.S. bases and interests in Iraq, conducting both direct attacks and asymmetric operations.

8. Al-Quds Force (Iranian IRGC):
• Role: The IRGC's Quds Force would play a critical role in coordinating the activities of these proxy groups, providing training, intelligence, strategic planning, and logistical support. They would also likely conduct special operations and direct Iranian military efforts in various theaters of conflict.

These groups would collectively contribute to Iran's strategy of asymmetric warfare, creating multiple fronts, utilizing guerrilla tactics, and targeting the strategic interests of Iran's adversaries. Their involvement would significantly complicate the military landscape and extend the reach of Iranian influence across the region.

IntelCenter Note on GenAIs:
GenAIs can do amazing things today. However, they are not perfect. They get things wrong and can hallucinate. When reading content produced by a GenAI, it should be done with a critical eye and never accepted blindly. This really isn’t much different than how we should be treating all sources of information, whether it is from a new analyst or a seasoned expert giving a presentation. For IntelCenter’s Domain GenAIs, they are working off a curated set of knowledge that is sourced and can be reviewed, which significantly improves the quality and relevance of their work. You can employ these today to do things that would otherwise be impossible. They are not a free pass to skip critical thinking.